Will 2026 general election turnout exceed 60% of registered voters?

Open Closes Nov 3, 2026 200 credits traded
OutcomeProbability
Yes 40.9%
No 59.1%
Price history from the opening odds to the latest trade. Hover the chart for the probability at any point.

Resolution

Resolves YES if the Alaska Division of Elections' final certified statewide turnout for the November 2026 general election is greater than 60.0% (a reported figure of 60.01% or higher). Exactly 60.0% resolves NO. Uses the Division's official published turnout percentage.

Source
Alaska Division of Elections official turnout report
Expected
Late November 2026 (certification)

Recent trades

ActionShares CreditsPrice afterWhen
Bought No 268.97 150 59.1% Jul 21, 2026 1:52 AM AK
Bought No 97.62 50 52.4% Jul 20, 2026 4:32 AM AK

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