Predict Alaska politics.
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Official prediction market of
Open
Which party's candidate wins the 2026 Alaska governor's race?
Democratic
36.6%
Republican
31.7%
Independent or nonpartisan
31.7%
Will 2026 general election turnout exceed 60% of registered voters?
No
59.1%
Yes
40.9%
Will any 2026 legislative general race be certified with a margin under 50 votes?
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Who wins Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race?
Dan Sullivan (incumbent)
33.3%
Mary Peltola
33.3%
Someone else
33.3%
Will Nick Begich III win reelection to Alaska's U.S. House seat in 2026?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Will Alaska repeal ranked-choice voting in 2026? (Ballot Measure 2)
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Who wins the 2027 Anchorage mayoral election?
Natasha von Imhof
29.8%
Jeff Landfield
24.1%
Suzanne LaFrance
23.1%
+ 1 more outcomes
Closed · awaiting resolution
Who finishes first in Alaska's August 18 gubernatorial primary?
Bernadette Wilson
14.3%
Click Bishop
14.3%
Tom Begich
14.3%
+ 4 more outcomes
Will Ballot Measure 1 (campaign contribution limits) pass in the August 18 primary?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
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