Who finishes first in Alaska's August 18 gubernatorial primary?
Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary: 17 candidates on one ballot, the four with the most votes advance to the November 3 ranked-choice general. This market is about first place only.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bernadette Wilson | 14.3% |
| Click Bishop | 14.3% |
| Tom Begich | 14.3% |
| Bill Walker | 14.3% |
| David Bronson | 14.3% |
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 14.3% |
| Someone else | 14.3% |
Resolution
Resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the August 18, 2026 primary for Governor of Alaska, per the Alaska Division of Elections' certified primary results. A named candidate resolves to themselves; if any candidate not listed here finishes first, the market resolves 'Someone else.' Votes are counted for the gubernatorial candidate at the top of each ticket; running mates are not counted separately. If the first-place candidate is tied, the Division's official tiebreaker result governs.